anchorman

[joethor]

does anyone have an early o/u line for this film. i think a line of 25 or less would make for an excellent over play

 

[Oren1]

I have no idea since most people are predicting in the 30's the line could end up in the mid-20's... This isn't Elf, the internet buzz isn't THAT strong, but, this is the type of movie that might do very well with average internet "buzz" I saw Will Ferrel on Conan the other night and not surprisingly he got a lot of aplause and excitement from the crowd...

 

[Oren1]

by the way, I didn't catch if anyone ever put up a line for King Arthur? not surprisingly it sounds like it's going to bomb...

 

[joethor]

wsex has it at o/u 28.5, with the over at -130. my lean would be towards the over,but 25 was my number so its a no play.

 

[Gillian]

Predictions:

Box Office Mojo: 42 million

Box Office Report: 38 million

Lee's Movie info: 42 million

 

[Oren1]

yeah... not sure if taking the risk at -150 is worth it, it's not a sure-fire hit in my opinion, but, I would think it should do around 30. So, I took 24-34 +110 2.75 units at Intertops. If the preview was stronger I'd say over 34 might be somewhat likely, but, I'm just not feelin' it.

14-20 -3 units

 

[joethor]

after further research, i am going to play the over. the public loves this guy,the spidy mania has died down, and i think dodgeball is a valid measuring stick. 450 to win 300.

 

[joethor]

over is getting hammered at wsex. opened at -130 now at -180.

 

[Gillian]

Odds are really moving on Anchorman... at wsex and INTERTOPS.com

Lots of different views. Hmm.

 

[joethor]

anchorman -220 now. the heavy juice is not scaring anyone, i think wsex is going to take a bath on this one. from -130 to -220

 

[joethor]

line has jumped from 28.5 to 29.5. heavy action on this one. the over 29.5 is -170.

 

[Gillian]

SLEEPOVER movie...

Intertops:

8.5 million or more... +700

(wouldn't that be nice)

u never know... Spy Kids??? kids are out of school.

 

[joethor]

take it gill, worth a shot at those odds.

 

[Gillian]

 

[Oren1]

I read a review for Sleepover, and the reviwer thought that this could be the "Gigli" of teen comedies. I'd be more tempted to take the under 4.5 or whatever it was, not that it's gonna do that. I think it might do around 6. But good luck.

 

[Gillian]

yeah... under 4.5 might be the call.

 

[Gillian]

My call for this week:

wsex: Anchorman -- Over 28.5 million

Intertops: Anchorman -- 24m to 34m

Sleepover -- 4.8 m to 6 m.

 

[Oren1]

Possible Friday #s (reliable source from HSX)

SPIDER-MAN 2 13.9
ANCHORMAN 10.8
KING ARTHUR 5.0
FAHRENHEIT 9/11 3.4
SLEEPOVER 1.7


Gil,

 

[joethor]

11.1 for anchorman. need 18 in two days, i am not sure its going to make it. what kind of dropoff can we expect on sat and sun?

 

[joethor]

lee is saying in his b.o. analysis he expects it to gross between 28-30.hopefully i can get 10.0 today and 8.0 on sunday but i am not overly optimistic.